
NBA Heavyweights Collide in Critical Post-All-Star Break Matchup
In one of Thursday’s most anticipated NBA games, the Memphis Grizzlies (36-18) face the Indiana Pacers (30-23) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in a clash with major playoff seeding implications. With Memphis ranked second in the Western Conference and Indiana fourth in the East, this nationally televised showdown features two explosive offenses averaging a combined 239 points per game.
Injury Drama Surrounds Star Players
All eyes remain on Ja Morant’s status as the Grizzlies superstar battles knee soreness listed as day-to-day . Memphis already faces absences from Johnny Davis (team decision) and three G League players, while Indiana welcomes back center Myles Turner after a three-game absence due to Achilles soreness . Turner’s return bolsters Indiana’s defense against Memphis’ league-leading 123.3 PPG offense .
Betting Markets Favor Tight Contest
Market | Grizzlies | Pacers |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -142 | +120 |
Spread (-2.5) | 1.91 | +2.5 (1.91) |
Total Points | 250.5 (1.91 over/under) |
Sports analytics site Stats Insider gives Memphis a 56% win probability through 10,000 simulations, predicting a 124-122 victory . However, their model recommends betting Indiana’s +2.5 spread (53% cover chance) and Under 250 points (56% likelihood) as value plays .
Historic Rivalry Heats Up
The teams split their last two meetings:
- Dec 1, 2024: Grizzlies dominated 136-121 behind Jaren Jackson Jr’s 25-point performance
- Jan 28, 2024: Pacers won 116-110 via Bennedict Mathurin’s 24-point bench explosion
Memphis holds a 6-1 series advantage since 2022 , but Indiana aims to leverage home-court advantage in this first meeting of their four-game homestand .
Key Matchup: Haliburton vs Morant
The point guard duel features Tyrese Haliburton (20.1 PPG, 11.2 APG) against Ja Morant (27.4 PPG, 8.1 APG). With Andrew Nembhard (10.5 PPG) likely drawing primary defensive duties on Morant, Indiana’s ability to contain Memphis’ transition game could decide this offensive fireworks display.