### Battle of Contrasting Fortunes
Venezia enters this match winless in eight consecutive league games, including three straight defeats where they failed to score twice. Their 2-0 midweek loss to Genoa highlighted defensive vulnerabilities despite holding 49% possession. Top scorer Joel Pohjanpalo (6 goals) remains critical to their survival hopes.
Lazio arrives unbeaten in three matches, averaging three goals per game during this stretch. Their 2-2 draw against league leaders Napoli last week showcased resilience after conceding an 87th-minute equalizer. Boulaye Dia (3 goals in last 10 games) leads their attack alongside creative force Mattia Zaccagni (4 assists).
### Head-to-Head Dominance
Lazio holds a commanding historical edge:
– 18 wins in 32 meetings vs Venezia’s 8
– Four consecutive victories since 2024
– Average 3.44 goals per H2H match
Venezia’s last home win against Lazio came in 2001 – a statistic manager Eusebio Di Francesco aims to rewrite.
### Tactical Lineups & Injuries
**Venezia (3-5-2 predicted):**
Radu; Schingtienne, Idzes, Candé; Zerbin, Pérez, Caviglia, Busio, Ellertsson; Oristanio, Fila.
*Key absences:* Michael Svoboda (injury), Filip Stanković (injury).
**Lazio (4-2-3-1 predicted):**
Provedel; Lazzari, Gila, Romagnoli, Tavares; Dele-Bashiru, Guendouzi; Isaksen, Zaccagni, Noslin; Dia.
*Key absences:* Nicolò Rovella (suspension), Valentín Castellanos (injury).
### Expert Prediction & Betting Insights
Sportskeeda predicts a 2-1 Lazio victory, while Sportsgambler gives Lazio -150 odds (60% implied probability). Key trends:
– Over 2.5 goals in six of last eight H2H matches
– BTTS Yes in seven of Lazio’s last ten away games
– Venezia failed to score in four home matches this year
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